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quarta-feira, setembro 17, 2003

Beber vinho dá de comer a um milhão de portugueses

O estímulo da economia através do estímulo do consumo parece ser uma ideia muito popular. O Cruzes Canhoto fala da contribuíção dos estudantes para a economia nacional através do consumo de cerveja.

O Cruzes também nos informa sobre a política económica de Allende:

In his first year, Allende also employed Keynesian measures to hike salaries and wages, thus pumping up the purchasing power of the middle and working classes. This "consumer revolution" benefited 95 percent of the population in the short run because prices were held down and employment went up. Producers responded to rising demand by employing previously underused capacity.

Entretanto o Mar Salgado afirma:

Não é difícil perceber a grande relevância do sistema prisional para a economia americana (boa parte dos serviços é prestada pelo sector privado).

E no entanto, quando o Abrupto discute imigração não recorre ao argumento do consumo:

E depois, o mais grave: convinha que alguém no PP, que saiba alguma coisa sobre imigração e emprego, dissesse ao dr. Portas que em Portugal, em 2003, essa correlação não tem qualquer sentido. Os trabalhadores da Marinha Grande ou as operárias da Clark's não vão trabalhar para a construção civil ou como empregadas domésticas. Os ucranianos e as cabo-verdianas, os moldavos e as são-tomenses não competem com os portugueses e as portuguesas nos empregos que têm, a não ser residualmente.

JPP aceita a premissa da extrema-direita de que o número de empregos numa economia é fixo. No entanto, os imigrantes são também consumidores e gastam parte do seu salário. O acréscimo de agentes a uma economia causa uma expansão global dessa economia: aumenta o número de produtores de riqueza, aumenta o número de consumidores e aumenta o número de empregos.

Por outro lado, a expansão do consumo de um determinado produto não gera riqueza. Isto porque os consumidores só podem consumir riqueza equivalente à que produzem. Se alguém passa a beber vinho para dar de comer a 1 milhão de portuguesas tem que deixar de consumir outra coisa qualquer, matando à fome outro milhão, ou então tem que se endividar. Se se endividar terá que consumir menos no futuro, o que vai dar mais ou menos ao mesmo.

As prisões americanas não podem representar nenhum peso especial na economia americana só porque consomem recursos. O consumo não gera riqueza. A riqueza tem sempre que ser produzida por alguém. As prisões acabam por ser um peso para a economia americana, porque as pessoas que lá estão produziriam (e consumiriam ) muito mais se estivessem fora da prisão.

Finalmente, as medidas do Allende para estimular o consumo através do aumento dos salários também não contribuem para a produção de riqueza. É óbvio que numa primeira fase, os recursos sub-utilizados passam a ser utilizados. Mas esses recursos estavam sub-utilizados por uma boa razão: a sua utilização não era considerada economicamente viável. Esta medida produz inflação porque o valor da riqueza produzida a mais é inferior ao aumento dos salários.


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